Today's NHL slate offers us plenty of paths to explore from a prop betting perspective, but I'm drawn to something simple here tonight to help us find a winning bet.
I'm opting for one parlay of a few watered down legs for guys in solid spots. You'll want to be on FanDuel today, and if you can't access that book, do read on for my analysis, as I am happy with many of these guys up at a higher line where they are more widely available.
Toronto's William Nylander has logged 3+ shots in all but one home game this season, averaging 8.7 attempts per game. He looks good to go over his 3.5 line, but obviously, confidence grows even more down at this 3+ line.
The Rangers have allowed 33.1 shots per game on the road over the last 30 days, and the Maple Leafs wing has 12 SOG in his last three meetings with New York.
Kreider has piled up 19 shots over his past four games on 32 attempts, he should be good for three or more here against a Toronto team allowing 34.5 shots per game at home over the past month. The Maple Leafs have also allowed the most shots per game to LWs this season, so Kreider should be a solid bet here.
Kreider has hit 2+ shots in 24 of 29 games this season, 13 of 16 on the road and six of his past seven against Toronto.
This is another guy I'm likely too conservative on, but Zach Hyman to hit three shots feels like a near certainty given the situation. The Islanders are allowing 35.1 shots per game at home through their last month of play, and they're allowing the most shots per game to RWs, where Hyman resides.
Hyman has 3+ shots in 12 straight, with 4+ shots in nine of his past 10. On the road, he has 3+ shots in seven straight games, including 19 SOG over his last three. His last four games against the Islanders have seen shot totals of 3-10-5-4.
Altogether, this trio comes in at a solid +109. I bumped this up a bit and placed 1.5u on the play.
Candidly, this does feel a bit too conservative, so yes, I am tacking on another .5u on each of these guys up at one number higher. That comes in at +423 on FD. Good luck tonight!
Nobody digs in the corners for picks on pucks like YB's Griffin Carroll. Follow him at griffybets.substack.com for NHL data, trends and targets.
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