We started off strong by nailing our first Look of the Day last Friday, but it's been all downhill since then with four straight close losses. There's still plenty of time to dig ourselves out of this hole, so let's start with an undervalued road team in the NHL.
Look of the Day record: 1-4 (-3.15 units)
This moneyline price makes no sense if you simply look at the records for both teams. The Flyers are 5-7-1 this year and playing on the opposite side of the country, while the Anaheim Ducks are 7-5-0 and beat the Flyers, 7-4, in their first matchup this season.
But that doesn't tell the full story.
Carter Hart, Philadelphia's starting goaltender, is returning to the net after a three-game absence, and that's where the value comes from. The Flyers are 4-3-0 in Hart's seven starts this year and 1-4-1 when he isn't on the ice. Backup goalie Samuel Errson has allowed 3.52 goals per game with an 83.0 percent save percentage, and third-stringer Cal Petersen surrendered five goals in his lone start this season.
Hart, on the other hand, has a 2.52 GAA and a 91.3 percent save percentage. This is a completely different team with Hart in net, and Philly should be favored by more in this matchup. Take the -110 as soon as you can, because this moneyline price is likely going to close higher.
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