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What's behind the slow-moving safety market?
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What's behind the slow-moving safety market?

The weeks leading up to and immediately following the official start of NFL free agency saw a whirlwind of trades and huge money doled out to seemingly every NFL player to ever line up at wide receiver.

Yet, despite how important it is for teams to have solid pass defense, one position that showed surprisingly little activity was safety. Kurt Coleman might have been able to reach a deal with the Saints prior to the official start of the league year, but it was mainly because he was cut in late February by the Panthers rather than reaching free agency by playing out his contract. After that, there were few rumblings in the market.

It wasn’t until the fifth day of the league year that the Texans came to terms with former Cardinals safety Tyrann Mathieu, easily the best known and arguably the best skilled of the bunch. Yet even at the top of the safety class, the 25-year-old Pro Bowler could only garner a one-year deal for $7 million. That’s the kind of money little-known slot receivers were getting days before. It’s also about half of what he was slated to get from Arizona in 2018 before the team released him in a cap-cutting move.

Across the board, offers have been low for safeties. Morgan Burnett, the former Packers safety, was said to be seeking $10 million per season. He ended up signing with Pittsburgh a week into the official free agency period for less than $5 million per season over three years. Several young, high-profile safeties, such as Eric Reid, Kenny Vaccaro and Tre Boston, are still available, and plenty of useful veterans are as well, with little indication they’re in anything but a holding pattern for the time being.

"We're barely even getting phone calls, and we're not the only ones," one agent told Jason La Canfora. "You can't even get (BS) offers. We're literally getting nothing. I'm not even talking one year, $3 million. Nothing. And it's not just us."

The situation hasn’t gone unnoticed among media or the players themselves.

Reid’s plight is being connected to the ongoing conversation regarding player demonstrations during the national anthem. He was the first player to join then-49ers teammate Colin Kaepernick in taking a knee during the anthem, beginning in summer 2016. Like Kaepernick, Reid has stated that he no longer plans to protest during the anthem. That certainly hasn’t stopped teams from bypassing Kap, and increasingly some believe that’s the reason Reid has no bidders. For example, Eagles safety Malcolm Jenkins, who has been a leader among players involved in activism causes though has disagreed with Reid about specific tactics, suspects that NFL teams are avoiding Reid the same way they have with Kaepernick. 

“It would be hard to say that he's not getting any calls just on talent alone," Jenkins told ESPN. "I think any team that is considering him is going to weigh his political views and the strong stance that he's taken the last couple years, and that's unfortunate, but it's just kind of what it is.”

An agent told La Canfora that there’s a perception that teams' disinterest in Reid is driving down the market wholesale for the position. Effectively, the agent argues, teams are worried that they can’t shun Reid without it being obvious, so they’re lowballing free agent safeties across the board.

"It feels like, with Eric Reid in the market, and teams not wanting to touch him, that a lot of other safeties are also being held down. Instead of anybody getting $8 million to $9 million per year, no one is getting it."

Given that the NFL has effectively blackballed Kaepernick for more than a full season, it’s hard to blame anyone for that presumption. Still, there are a few mitigating factors with Reid and other safeties that should give pause.

For example, Seattle is still shopping Pro Bowler Earl Thomas. The Seahawks have had something of a fire sale of their once-vaunted defense this offseason, parting with Michael Bennett and Richard Sherman. They have reportedly been in talks with several teams about a potential deal and have even backed down from a steep initial asking price of a first- and a third-round pick.

Furthermore, the draft is considered to be deep at safety, with some analysts suggesting as many as six could go in the first three rounds. So it’s possible teams, as with other positions, are waiting to see how the draft shakes out before potentially meeting with available veterans on the market. After all, big-time collegiate playmakers are available this year, including Alabama teammates Minkah Fitzpatrick and Ronnie Harrison, along with Florida State's Derwin James, Wake Forest's Jessie Bates III and Stanford's Just Reid. 

Considering the recent draft capital used on safeties and the success of the young back-line defenders, it certainly plays a role. Last year alone, three safeties went in the first round and played well as rookies, with the Jets' Jamal Adams, Colts' Malik Hooker and Browns' Jabrill Peppers all getting on the field. Six more safeties were selected in the second round and another two went in the third.

Still, it's odd to see proven, reliable safeties sitting at home. How much teams have been willing to shell out at receiver makes the lull at the position suspicious, though teams have to save money somewhere. At this point, they have leverage to practice patience with the draft looming. After that, it should be easier to draw definitive conclusions, but it sure seems that there has been less of premium placed on what has been a pivotal position in today's NFL.

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