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MLB best bets: Wiesguy's 2 Picks and a Prop for 4/25

By Matt Wiesenfeld | Last updated 4/25/23

Yesterday we gave some back with a 1-2 day in MLB betting. After some tough times early, we are getting the hang of this prop thing though. Losing to Tampa might have been a shame on me, while once again Milwaukee tells you to not really believe in them. Come on, Brewers.

There are still a couple of days before the NFL Draft so why not enjoy some ballgames while we wait for G5 of the Warriors vs Kings. What a series, too bad it is in the first round.

All teams are in action tonight so let's get back to winning.

Bet Tracking

Favorite Picks: 4-4 (-9 Units)
Underdog Pick: 4-4 (+8 Units)
Prop Pick: 5-3 (+17.5 Units)

Winning Days: 5 of 8

In Review: Monday, April 24

Milwaukee Brewers -150

The Brewers could only push across 2 runs last night. That is not going to cut it, even against the Tigers.

Houston Astros +135

Fading the Rays is not going to be something I revisit for a while. Unless my Jays are playing them.

Brad Keller Under 15.5 Outs (+115)

I might be getting the hang of this outs predicting thing. I kind of like it as a derivation of side plays, too.

MLB Picks for Tuesday, April 25

Favorite

Minnesota Twins -125 (vs. New York Yankees)

The record looks decent but the Yankees are hurting right now. They dropped a series to Toronto over the weekend and scored just once last night in a loss. Nasty Nestor Cortes is on the mound tonight but I like young Joe Ryan even better, especially at home and with a team that is feeling good. Fading New York is always a nice value play because they command a premium.

Underdog

San Diego Padres +100 (at Chicago Cubs)

Blake Snell vs Justin Steele tonight. It feels a little bizarre when you look at their numbers so far. Steele has never been this sharp before and looks due for a slide, while Snell can master any lineup and at any time, consistency is just not his thing. I think SD has several lineup advantages too. This one is not a huge payoff but doubling your money is never something to scoff at.

Prop

Josiah Gray Over 15.5 Outs +135

The payoff drew me in here. Then I looked closer at Gray, the Nationals' best starter. In four starts he has gone at least 15 outs in each one and in half of them he has bested this total. That is a nice hit rate, which when combined with the payoff makes an easy call. The only downside is that he has been bad in his short career against the Mets. He is maturing though. They need him and won't pull him just because the team is losing too.

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